Ask Ariely: On Interviews, Luck, and the Canoe Test
Here’s my Q&A column from the WSJ this week — and if you have any questions for me, just email them to AskAriely@wsj.com.
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Dear Dan,
I recently had a job interview on a rainy day, and it went very poorly. I made a point of getting to the interview site early, and I relaxed by buying a cup of tea and sitting down to read at a local coffee shop. The book I was reading at the time was a policy manifesto by two political theorists whose views I strongly disagree with.
Which is more likely to have contributed to my poor job-interview performance: the cold and miserable January weather or spending 20 minutes reading ideas I greatly dislike? Which is more important for job candidates before a big interview: consulting the weather forecast or spending time reading material that makes them happy?
—Jay
Sorry about the outcome of the interview, but the lesson from this episode might be worthwhile in the long term. I suspect that you had some implicit emotions based on the weather and the book, but the way you experienced these emotions was more general and diffuse. In your mind, your mood was connected to everything around you, which made you uncomfortable about everything you experienced—including, unfortunately, the interview. Assuming that you don’t have a perfect poker face, your feelings must have been apparent to the interviewer, and your overall appeal went down.
Though I suspect that both the weather and the book contributed to your negative mood, if I had to guess I’d vote for the book as having the larger impact. For your next interview, take a funny book with you, and with a thick marker write on your underwear “I am the best.” Both of these methods of preparation should put you in a good mood and improve your chances. Good luck.
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Dear Dan,
Are there people who are just lucky? I think so—only I’m not one of them.
—Amy
I think some people are luckier, but it’s not the kind of luck that gets you more money at the roulette wheel. Luckier people tend to try more frequently, and by trying more often they also succeed more. Think about a basketball player who attempts to shoot three times in a game, compared with one who tries 30 times. Even if the first one has a better shooting percentage, in absolute numbers, you can’t compare the two.
On top of that, if you notice the successes of other people and don’t pay much attention to their failures, you will basically see the absolute number of successes and not notice the percentage of successes.
So, what’s the advice? First, life is a numbers game—so try more frequently. Second, it’s good to look at the number of things that other people attempt—not just their successes.
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Dear Dan,
In one of the chapters of “The Upside of Irrationality” you suggest a canoe ride as a good indicator of the success of a future relationship, since it often gives one person plenty of opportunity to blame the other for things that go wrong. Here is the question: Would it matter that one of the participants knows it’s a test?
P.S. Before my ex-wife and I got married, we did go on a canoe ride, and it was the worst experience ever. Just to add to your statistics…
—Oren
Like most tests in life, the canoe trial works best when the people in question don’t know they are taking part in a test. Tests make us feel that watchful eyes are on us, so we try to put on our best behavior. If your loved one knows about it, the test is not valid.
Now that I think about it, maybe the real trick is to try to persuade your partner that she is often in a test and being watched. I have always suspected that once people have the Nielsen ratings machines installed in their homes they start watching more PBS and fewer reality shows.
Maybe if you persuaded your significant other that you have some “Ariely Romantic Ratings Machine” installed in your house, your domestic life will improve. Perhaps you should start a company to provide such a service?
See the original article in the Wall Street Journal here.

The Honest Truth About Dishonesty: How We Lie to Everyone - Especially Ourselves

Hello Dan and everyone,
After reading and more reading, we can ask at what point does the information lead to more internal questions such as posed above.
Interesting, we at times forget the experiences and thinkng of Diogenes and King Soloman and their pursuit of the true meaning of life.
In college we are taught most times to learn to critically think. In the real world that same perspective can lead to all sorts of unforesee pros and cons.
I tend to think a little old fashioned common sense could be useful as we continue on our journey in life.
Best,
Rande
My thoughts regarding Jan’s predicament. She is making the same mistake far too many people make in searching for a job – she lost her focus. If you are going to invest time in offering your skills and talents to a prospective employer, you must pay attention to the process. To evaluate you properly, the potential employer needs to realize that you are well prepared for the interview and eager to prove your potential. You can think about “other” things tomorrow, but today – you must be prepared to present yourself as the best possible choice the employer. Otherwise, you will have to go through the same process with another potential employer,
Dan, have you seen Richard Wiseman’s work on luck?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/3304496/Be-lucky-its-an-easy-skill-to-learn.html
There’s insufficient context in Jay’s description to determine why his interview did not go well. Frankly, the weather and book may have had little to do with the outcome.
Jay, I must ask out of curiosity…would you have attributed success to the book and weather if the interview had gone well? Is it not just as likely that entirely different factors negatively influenced the interviewer(s) that day?
Even the most prepared and focused candidates walk away from interviews empty-handed. I suspect the weather and their choice of reading materials play insignificant roles in their success.
From all three life stories one may conclude that our life is a big game with many mid term tests and quizzes (and a final exam, I guess). To be lucky one has to be positive and fearless in taking those tests. Unfortunately, some of the tests are designed to be taken only once.
The research in job interviews consistently shows that the hiring manager hires the person he or she likes the best. Using something like Kahneman’s Peak/End theory as part of your strategy to win the interview could make a real difference. See the techniques in the book The Peak Interview.
Thank you , Dan!!! You really help make us better people!!! Rose M.
My husband and I went on a canoe trip many years ago, he is the stern and I in the bow. At first, it was awful – he couldn’t make himself understood. Then I realized the problem was that he can’t say “left” and “right” and mean the same thing I mean. We switched to “my side” and “your side” (I’m a lefty and always paddle on the left – he’s right handed and always paddles on the right.) This completely solved the problem and we’re still married 40 years later.
That canoe idea is a good one, though you’re right, it’s less effective if both know it’s a test. It’s also cheaper than my best idea for testing the potential of a relationship–traveling abroad to a country neither of you have been before. If you can still get along through the many unforeseen stressors and challenges, you’re probably a good long term match!
Years ago my husband and I went on a canoe ride in France and it was one hell of a ride. Lots of wind and the long distance made the ride terrible. We fell into the water and lost a camera. I’m embarrassed to admit that was the aggressive one. I even hit my husband with the paddle. Shouted the unkindest things. Years later we tried another ride and this one was heavenly. We worked together very well, had lots of fun and reached our destination long before the other ones. No adverse winds this time. Only sunshine and happiness.
We have been 25 years together now.
I do not know what this proves. Avoid canoe rides when adversary winds blow? Choose the right moment and conditions? But I still do not like canoe rides…
I love the answer to question about luck! I am sharing as far and wide as I know how!
Throw dirt enough and some will stick.
I’m able to barely believe such well-designed sites really exist.
Reblogged this on circulardevelopment and commented:
I just love the idea of a canoe test. Being in the country containing more freshwater than any other country, I may actually try this with possible mates.
Nice post.